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No. 065 Β· Article
SOCIETY & MIGRATION

Europe Ageing Workforce Is Reshaping Immigration Politics

Countries that once rejected labour migration are now competing for foreign workers. The demographic math leaves them no choice.

The great reversal

In 2015, Poland government made rejection of EU migrant quotas a centrepiece of its political identity. A decade later, the country has quietly become Europe largest destination for non-EU labour migration. Over 1.2 million work permits were issued to foreign nationals in 2025 β€” the vast majority to Ukrainians, but increasingly to workers from India, the Philippines, and Central Asia.

The turnaround is driven by simple arithmetic. Poland working-age population is shrinking by roughly 200,000 per year. Without foreign workers, entire sectors β€” construction, logistics, agriculture, elderly care β€” would face catastrophic labour shortages.

1.2M Poland work permits issued (2025)
-200K Annual workforce shrinkage
19 EU countries with net labour shortage
4.7 Avg time to fill vacancy (months)

The political contradiction

The politics are contradictory everywhere. Italy government campaigns against irregular migration while quietly expanding legal work visa programmes. Hungary maintains hardline anti-immigration rhetoric while issuing guest worker permits at record levels. The gap between the discourse and the policy has never been wider.

The reason is structural: ageing societies need workers, but ageing electorates fear cultural change. Politicians resolve this tension by opposing visible migration (asylum seekers, refugees) while facilitating invisible migration (temporary work permits, sector-specific schemes).

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